When key geological scenario uncertainties, captured in multiple conceptual models, are combined with continuous parameters, the evaluation of a representative sample set quickly becomes unmanageable, laborious and too time consuming to execute. A workflow is presented that enables users to easily model conceptual as well as parametric uncertainties of the reservoir without the necessity of any complex scripting. The chain of models for all concepts is presented in one view, to provide overview of the key differences between concepts used. An ensemble of geologically sound samples can be created taking into account parameter dependencies and probabilities of concepts. The chain of models per concept can easily be (re)executed.
A case study is presented that consists of multiple concepts based on different hierarchical stratigraphic models in combination with different fault models, each of which with its own fluid- (defined contacts per compartment), grid- (sub-layering and areal resolution) and rock property models. Volumetric calculations are run on an ensemble to get static model observables like GRV, Pore Volume, Oil-In-Place, etc., reported by multiple sub-regions of the model in combination with a lease boundary. (When coupled with dynamic simulation, observables like ultimate recovery, break-through timing, etc. could also be obtained). As thousands of realizations were run concurrently, run time was reduced from weeks to hours. Results reveal the distribution and dependency of observables like GRV on top-structure-depth uncertainty and contact-level uncertainty. For in-place volumes the full suite of concepts and other parametric uncertainties including the stochastic uncertainties (i.e. seed) is analyzed. This also enables the identification of the key uncertainties that impact equity the most, which can be of great commercial value during equity negotiations. This workflow demonstrates how, with the power of Cloud computing, rigorous evaluation of multiple concepts combined with many parametric uncertainties has been achieved within practical turn-around times. As such it overcomes the prohibitive hurdles of the past that often have led to simplifications necessary to save time and effort. The result is better decision quality in resource development decisions.
Bigoni, Francesco (Eni S.p.A) | Pirrone, Marco (Eni S.p.A) | Trombin, Gianluca (Eni S.p.A) | Vinci, Fabio Francesco (Eni S.p.A) | Raimondi Cominesi, Nicola (ZFOD) | Guglielmelli, Andrea (ZFOD) | Ali Hassan, Al Attwi Maher (ZFOD) | Ibrahim Uatouf, Kubbah Salma (ZFOD) | Bazzana, Michele (Eni Iraq BV) | Viviani, Enea (Eni Iraq BV)
The Mishrif Formation is one of the important carbonate reservoirs in middle, southern Iraq and throughout the Middle East. In southern Iraq, the formation provides the reservoir in oilfields such as Rumaila/West Qurna, Tuba and Zubair. The top of the Mishrif Formation is marked by a regional unconformity: a long period of emersion in Turonian (ab. 4.4 My) regionally occurred boosted by a warm humid climate, associated to heavy rainfall. In Zubair Field, within the Upper interval of Mishrif Formation, there are numerous evidences of karst features responsible of important permeability enhancements in low porosity intervals that are critical for production optimization and reservoir management purposes.
In the first phase, the integration of Multi-rate Production logging and Well Test analysis was very useful to evaluate the permeability values and to highlight the enhanced permeability (largely higher than expected Matrix permeability) intervals related to karst features; Image log analysis, on the same wells, allowed to find out a relationship between karst features and vug densities, making possible to extend the karst features identification also in wells lacking of well test and Production logging information. This approach has allowed to obtain a Karst/No Karst Supervised dataset for about 60 wells.
In the second phase different seismic and geological attributes have been considered in order to investigate possible correlations with karst features. In fact there are some parameters that show somehow a correlation with Karst and/or NoKarst wells: the Spectral Decomposition (specially 10 and 40 Hz volumes), the detection of sink-holes at top Mishrif on the Continuity Cube and its related distance, the sub-seismic Lineaments (obtained from Curvature analysis and subordinately from Continuity), distance from Top Mishrif. In the light of these results, the most meaningful parameters have been used as input data for a Neural Net Process ("Supervised Neural Network") utilizing the Supervised dataset both as a Trained dataset (70%) and as a Verification dataset (30%). A probability 3D Volume of Karst features was finally obtained; the comparison with verification dataset points out an error range around 0.2 that is to say that the rate of success of the probability Volume is about 80%.
The final outcomes of the workflow are karst probability maps that are extremely useful to guide new wells location and trajectory. Actually, two proof of concept case histories have demonstrated the reliability of this approach. The newly drilled wells, with optimized paths according to these prediction-maps, have intercepted the desired karst intervals as per the subsequent image log interpretation, which results have been very valuable in the proper perforation strategy including low porous intervals but characterized by high vuggy density (Karst features). Based on these promising results the ongoing drilling campaign has been optimized accordingly.
This paper discusses the use of a novel data-driven method for automated facies classification and characterization of carbonate reservoirs. The approach makes an extensive use of wireline and while drilling electrical borehole image logs and provides a direct and fast recognition of the main geological features at multi-scale level, together with secondary porosity estimation. This embodies an unbiased and valuable key-driver for rock typing, dynamic behavior understanding and reservoir modeling purposes in these puzzling scenarios.
The implemented methodology takes advantage of a non-conventional approach to the analysis and interpretation of image logs, based upon image processing and automatic classification techniques applied in a structural and petrophysical framework. In particular, the Multi-Resolution Graph-based Clustering (MRGC) algorithm that is able to automatically shed light on the significant patterns hidden in a given image log dataset. This allows the system to perform an objective multi-well analysis within a time-efficient template. A further characterization of the facies can be established by means of the Watershed Transform (WT) approach, based on digital image segmentation processes and which is mainly aimed at quantitative porosity partition (primary and secondary).
The added value from this data-driven image log analysis is demonstrated through selected case studies coming from vertical and sub-horizontal wells in carbonate reservoirs characterized by high heterogeneity. First, the MRGC has been carried out in order to obtain an alternative log-facies classification with an inherent textural meaning. Next, the WT-based algorithm provided a robust quantification of the secondary porosity contribution to total porosity, in terms of connected vugs, isolated vugs, fractures and matrix contribution rates. Finally, image log-facies classification and quantitative porosity partition have been integrated with production logs and pressure transient analyses to reconcile the obtained carbonate rock types with the effective fluid flows and the associated dynamic behavior at well scale.
The presented novel methodology is deemed able to perform an automatic, objective and advanced interpretation of field-scale image log datasets, avoiding time-consuming conventional processes and inefficient standard analyses when the number of wells to be handled is large and/or in harsh circumstances. Moreover, secondary porosity can be proficiently identified, evaluated and also characterized from the dynamic standpoint, hence representing a valuable information for any 3D reservoir models.
In this work we discuss the successful application of our previously developed automated scenario reduction approach applied to life-cycle optimization of a real field case. The inherent uncertainty present in the description of reservoir properties motivates the use of an ensemble of model scenarios to achieve an optimized robust reservoir development strategy. In order to accurately span the range of uncertainties it is imperative to build a relatively large ensemble of model scenarios. The size of the ensemble is directly proportional to the computational effort required in robust optimization. For high-dimensional, complex field case models this implies that a large ensemble of model scenarios which albeit accurately captures the inherent uncertainties would be computationally infeasible to be utilized for robust optimization. One of the ways to circumvent this problem is to work with a reduced subset of model scenarios. Methods based on heuristics and ad-hoc rules exist to select this reduced subset. However, in most of the cases, the optimal number of model realizations must be known upfront. Excessively small number of realizations may result in a subset that does not always capture the span of uncertainties present, leading to sub-optimal optimization results. This raises the question on how to effectively select a subset that contains an optimal number of realizations which both is able to capture the uncertainties present and allow for a computationally efficient robust optimization. To answer this question we have developed an automated framework to select the reduced ensemble which has been applied to an original ensemble of 300 equiprobable model scenarios of a real field case. The methodology relies on the fact that, ideally, the distance between the cumulative distribution functions (CDF) of the objective function (OF) of the full and reduced ensembles should be minimal. This allows the method to determine the smallest subset of realizations that both spans the range of uncertainties and provides an OF CDF that is representative of the full ensemble based on a statistical metric. In this real field case application we optimize the injection rates throughout the assets life-cycle with expected cumulative oil production as the OF. The newly developed framework selected a small subset of 17 model scenarios out of the original ensemble which was used for robust optimization. The optimal injection strategy achieved an average increase of 6% in cumulative oil production with a significant reduction, approximately 90%, in the computational effort. Validation of this optimal strategy over the original ensemble lead to very similar improvements in cumulative oil production, highlighting the reliability and accuracy of our framework.
There are a vast number of reservoirs with drill cuttings and core images that have classification problems associated with them. This could be due to the images not being classified in the first place, or the images may be available but the interpretation reports could be missing. Another problem is that images from different wells could be interpreted by different wellsite geologists/sedimentologists and hence result in an inconsistent classification scheme. Finally, there could also be the problem of some images being incorrectly classified. Ergo it would be desirable to have an unbiased objective system that could overcome all of these issues. Step in convolutional neural networks. Advances during this decade in using convolutional neural networks for visual recognition of discriminately different objects means that now object recognition can be achieved to a significant extent. Once the network is trained on a representative set of lithological classes, then such a system just needs to be fed the raw drill cuttings or core images that it has not seen before and it will automatically assign a lithological class to each image and an associated probability of the image belonging to that class. In so doing, images below a certain probability threshold can be automatically flagged for further human investigation. The benefit of such a system would be to improve reservoir understanding by having all available images classified in a consistent manner hence keeping the characterization consistent as well. It would further help to reduce the time taken to get human expertise to complete the task, as well as the associated cost.
Al-Farisi, Omar (Khalifa University of Science and Technology) | Zhang, Hongtao (Khalifa University of Science and Technology) | Raza, Aikifa (Khalifa University of Science and Technology) | Ozzane, Djamel (ADNOC) | Sassi, Mohamed (Khalifa University of Science and Technology) | Zhang, TieJun (Khalifa University of Science and Technology)
Automated image processing algorithms can improve the quality and speed of classifying the morphology of heterogeneous carbonate rock. Several commercial products have worked to produce petrophysical properties from 2D images and with less extent from 3D images, relying on image processing and flow simulation. Images are mainly micro-computed tomography (μCT), optical images of thin-section, or magnetic resonance images (MRI). However, most of the successful work is from the homogeneous and clastic rocks. In this work, we have demonstrated a Machine Learning assisted Image Recognition (MLIR) approach to determine the porosity and lithology of heterogeneous carbonate rock by analyzing 3D images form μCT and MRI. Our research method consists of two parts: experimental and MLIR. Experimentally, we measured porosity of rock core plug with three different ways: (i) weight difference of dry and saturated rock, (ii) NMR T2 relaxation of saturated rock, and (iii) helium gas injection of rock after cleaning and drying.
We performed MLIR on 3D μCT and MRI images using random forest machine-learning algorithm. Petrophysicist provided a set of training data with classes (i.e., limestone, pyrite, and pore) as expert knowledge of μCT Image intensity correspondence to petrophysical properties. MLIR performed, alone, each task for identifying different lithology types and porosity. Determined volumes have been checked and confirmed with three different experimental datasets. The measured porosity, from three experiment-based approaches, is very close. Similarly, the MLR measured porosity produced excellent results comparatively with three experimental measurements, with an accuracy of 97.1% on the training set and 94.4% on blind test prediction.
Waterflooding is the main technic to recover hydrocarbons in reservoirs. For a given set of wells (injectors and producers), the choice of injection/production parameters such as pressures, flow rates, and locations of these boundary conditions have a significant impact on the operating life of the wells. As a large number of combinations of these parameters are possible, one of the critical decision to make is to identify an optimal set of these parameters. Using the reservoir simulator directly to evaluate the impact of these sets being unrealistic considering the required number of simulations, a common approach consists of using response surfaces to approximate the reservoir simulator outputs. Several techniques involving proxies model (e.g., kriging, polynomial, and artificial neural network) have been suggested to replace the reservoir simulations. This paper focalizes on the application of artificial neural networks (ANN) as it is commonly admitted that the ANNs are the most efficient one due to their universal approximation capacity, i.e., capacity to reproduce any continuous function. This paper presents a complete workflow to optimize well parameters under waterflooding using an artificial neural network as a proxy model. The proposed methodology allows evaluating different production configurations that maximize the NPV according to a given risk. The optimized solutions can be analyzed with the efficient frontier plot and the Sharpe ratios. An application of the workflow to the Brugge field is presented in order to optimize the waterflooding strategy.
Al-Jenaibi, Faisal (ADNOC - Upstream) | Shelepov, Konstantin (Rock Flow Dynamics) | Kuzevanov, Maksim (Rock Flow Dynamics) | Gusarov, Evgenii (Rock Flow Dynamics) | Bogachev, Kirill (Rock Flow Dynamics)
The application of intelligent algorithms that use clever simplifications and methods to solve computationallycomplex problems are rapidly displacing traditional methods in the petroleum industry. The latest forward-thinking approaches inhistory matching and uncertainty quantification were applied on a dynamic model that has unknown permeability model. The original perm-poro profile was constructed based on synthetic data to compare Assisted History Matching (AHM)approach to the exact solution. It is assumed that relative permeabilities, endpoints, or any parameter other than absolute permeability to match oil/water/gas rates, gas-oil ratio, water injection rate, watercut and bottomhole pressure cannot be modified.
The standard approach is to match a model via permeability variation is to split the grid into several regions. However, this process is a complete guess as it is unclear in advance how to select regions. The geological prerequisites for such splitting usually do not exist. Moreover, the values of permeability and porosity in different grid blocks are correlated. Independent change of these values for each region distortscorrelations or make the model unphysical.
The proposed alternative involves the decomposition of permeability model into spectrum amplitudes using Discrete Cosine Transformation (DCT), which is a form of Fourier Transform. The sum of all amplitudes in DCT is equal to the original property distribution. Uncertain permeability model typically involves subjective judgment, and several optimization runs to construct uncertainty matrix. However, the proposed multi-objective Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) helps to reduce randomness and find optimal undominated by any other objective solution with fewer runs. Further optimization of Flexi-PSO algorithm is performed on its constituting components such as swarm size, inertia, nostalgia, sociality, damping factor, neighbor count, neighborliness, the proportion of explorers, egoism, community and relative critical distance to increase the speed of convergence. Additionally, the clustering technique, such as Principal Component Analysis (PCA), is suggested as a mean to reduce the space dimensionality of resulted solutions while ensuring the diversity of selected cluster centers.
The presentedset of methodshelps to achieve a qualitative and quantitative match with respect to any property, reduce the number of uncertainty parameters, setup ageneric and efficient approach towards assisted history matching.
Identification of tidal channels fairways is key for predicting behavior of areas at higher risk to water breakthrough or otherwise have a significant impact on the development and monitoring of reservoir performance. However, tidal channels in carbonates are not often easily characterized using conventional seismic attributes. It is important to decipher the complexity of the carbonate tidal channel architecture with integrated multisource data and a variety of approaches.
In this paper, petrological characteristics and petrographic analysis is conducted on well logs and validated carefully using core data. Then, the second step is to compare the carbonate channel systems with modern analogue in Bahama tidal flat and outcrop scales in Wadi Mi'Aidin (Northern Oman). Thereafter, the supervised probabilistic neural network (PNN) and linear regression method were undertaken to detect an additional channel distribution.
The relationship of high porosity with low acoustic impedance appeared mostly in the channel facies which reflects good reservoir quality grainstone channels. Outside these channels, the rock is heavily mud filled by peritidal carbonates and characterized by a high acoustic impedance anomaly with low quality of porosity distribution. The new observation of PNN porosity volume revealed a lateral distribution of the Mishrif carbonate tidal channels in terms of paleocurrent direction and the connectivity. Additionally, the prior information from core data and the geological knowledge indicate a good consistency with classified lithology. These observations implied that Mishrif channels consist of a wide range of lithology and porotype fluctuations due to the impact of depositional environment.
The work enables us to provide a new insight into the distribution of channel bodies, and petrophysical properties with quantification of their influence on dynamic reservoir behavior of the main producing reservoir. This work will not only provide an important guidance to the development and production of this case study, however also deliver an integrated work path for the similar geological and sedimentary environment in the nearby oil fields of Southern Iraq.
With the advent of high-resolution methods to predict hydraulic fracture geometry and subsequent production forecasting, characterization of productive shale volume and evaluating completion design economics through science-based forward modeling becomes possible. However, operationalizing a simulation-based workflow to optimize design to keep up with the field operation schedule remains the biggest challenge owing to the slow model-to-design turnaround cycle. The objective of this project is to apply the ensemble learning-based model concept to this issue and, for the purpose of completion design, we summarize the numerical-model-centric unconventional workflow as a process that ultimately models production from a well pad (of multiple horizontal laterals) as a function of completion design parameters. After the development and validation and analysis of the surrogate model is completed, the model can be used in the predictive mode to respond to the "what if" questions that are raised by the reservoir/completion management team.