Many gas reservoirs at the appraisal stage exhibit evidence of persistent gas saturations below free water levels (FWL's). The amounts of gas contained here may, under some situations, be a sizable fraction of the gas cap volumes. Many engineers appear poorly equipped to include, and model, paleo gas in simulation models. This often results in paleo gas being simply ignored when development plans are being considered. This is unfortunate because paleo gas upon pressure depletion can expand, displacing brine towards well completions. This means that while some additional gas production may occur from the paleo zone, the risk of water production may be significantly underestimated if paleo gas is simply omitted. This work discusses the evidence for paleo gas and shows that it may be described and incorporated in simple simulation models provided the user avoids some common misconceptions. It is demonstrated that under depletion conditions, paleo gas can be entirely visible to material balance pressure responses, while at the same time increasing the risk of produced water volumes. For higher pressure paleo gas reservoirs the common P on Z diagnostic plots can also provide early trends that are frequently misinterpreted. This work quantifies the curvature that can result in such systems, and shows that simulation models inherently predict the expected curvature in P on Z. The approach taken here is by design simplistic and is applicable to scoping evaluations where the paleo gas volumes could be a significant volumetric uncertainty. Where possible, we indicate where additional, or more rigorous, descriptions can be applied.
Chiotoroiu, Maria-Magdalena (OMV E&P) | Clemens, Torsten (OMV E&P) | Zechner, Markus (OMV E&P/Stanford University) | Hwang, Jongsoo (University of Texas) | Sharma, Mukul M. (University of Texas) | Thiele, Marco (Streamsim/Stanford University)
Waterflooding can lead to substantial incremental oil production. Implementation of water injection projects requires the project to fit into the risk (defined here as negative outcomes relative to defined project objectives) and uncertainty (defined here as inability to estimate a value precisely) a company is willing to take.
One of the key risks for water injection into a shallow reservoir is injection induced fractures extending into the caprock. If this risk is seen as "Intolerable" in an As Low As Reasonable Practicable (ALARP) analysis a decision may be made to not proceed with the project., In this study we evaluated caprock integrity by conducting simulations of long-term water injection that include the effects of formation damage caused by internal/external plugging, geomechanical stress changes and fracture propagation in the sand and bounding shale.
The risk of fracture growth into the caprock was assessed by conducting Monte-Carlo simulations considering a set of modelling parameters each associated with an uncertainty range. This allowed us to identify the range of operating parameters where the risk of fracture height growth was acceptable. Our simulations also allowed us to identify important factors that impact caprock integrity. To cover the uncertainty in geomechanical reservoir evaluation, the operating envelope is identified such that the risk of the caprock integrity is reduced. This requires introducing a limit for the Bottom Hole Pressure (BHP) including a safety margin.
The limit of the BHP is then used as a constraint in the uncertainty analysis of water injectivity. The uncertainty analysis should cover the various development options, the parametrisation of the model, sampling from the distribution of parameters and distance-based Generalized Sensitivity Analysis (dGSA) as well as probabilistic representation of the results.
The dGSA can be used to determine which parameter has a strong impact on the BHP and hence the project and should be measured if warranted by a Value of Information analysis.
The final development option to be chosen depends on a traditional NPV analysis.
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