Production forecasting in the financial markets

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Onshore, tight resource development continues to attract an increasing share of investment capital. The page shows how investors use production forecasting to mitigate downside risks and create investible opportunities in this market. Because capital flows freely, markets quickly incorporate all publically available information about a company's profitability and growth potential. How can E&P investors earn outsized returns in the face of a market that responds so completely and efficiently? The trivial answer is that investors earn above-average returns by predicting a company's cash flow both better than and before the market consensus.

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