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Pei, Yanli (The University of Texas at Austin) | Yu, Wei (The University of Texas at Austin / Sim Tech LLC) | Sepehrnoori, Kamy (The University of Texas at Austin) | Gong, Yiwen (Sim Tech LLC / The Ohio State University) | Xie, Hongbin (Sim Tech LLC) | Wu, Kan (Texas A&M University)
The extensive depletion of the development target has triggered the demand for infill drilling in the upside target of multilayer unconventional reservoirs. To optimize the hydraulic fracturing design of newly drilled wells, we need to investigate the stress changes in the upside target induced by parent-well production. In this work, an integrated parent-child workflow is presented to model the spatial-temporal stress evolution and propose the optimal development strategy for the upside target using a data set from the Permian Basin. The stress dependence of matrix permeability and fracture conductivity is determined based on available experimental data and incorporated in our reservoir simulation with the aid of an embedded discrete fracture model (EDFM). With calibrated reservoir properties from history matching of an actual well in the development target (i.e., 3rd BS Sand), we run the finite element method (FEM) based geomechanics simulator to predict the 3D spatial-temporal evolution of the local principal stresses. A displacement discontinuity method (DDM) hydraulic fracture model is then applied to simulate the multi-cluster fracture propagation in the upside target (i.e., L2BSSh) with the updated heterogeneous stress field. Numerical results indicate that stress field redistribution associated with parent-well production not only occurs within the development target but also vertically propagates to the upside target. A smaller parent-child horizontal offset induces a severer deviation of child-fractures towards the parent wellbore, resulting in more substantial well interference and less desirable oil and gas production. The parent-child fracture overlapping ratio in our study is in 0.6 ~ 0.8 for the 400 ft horizontal offset and 0.2 ~ 0.5 for the 600 ft horizontal offset. Varying the parent-child vertical offset gives the same trend as we change the horizontal offset. But with a delayed infill time, placing child-well in different layers causes more significant variation in the ultimate recovery. Moreover, infill operations at an earlier time are less affected by parent-well depletion because of the more homogeneous stress state. The candidate locations to implement infill-wells are suggested in the end for different infill timing by co-simulation of the parent-child production. With the reservoir-geomechanics-fracture model, this work provides a general workflow to optimize the child-well completion in multilayer unconventional reservoirs. The conclusions drawn from this study are of guiding significance to the subsequent development in the Permian Basin.
The story of the US shale revolution is well known. Hydraulic fracturing techniques were executed by Mitchell Energy in vertical Barnett Play gas wells in the early 2000's, vertical wells matured into horizontal multi-stage frac wells, and one of the largest land leasing campaigns in history exploded as operators chased high gas prices.
As the natural gas market became saturated, the industry started to strip the natural gas liquids (NGLs) out of the gas stream to take advantage of the ever-rising oil pricing. When gas prices tumbled in 2011, and oil prices climbed north of $100/bbl, the industry looked to the liquid rich/oil plays, such as the Williston Basin, the DJ Basin, and the Permian Basin.
The turning point came in November 2014 when oil prices fell rapidly. As prices bottomed out at $22/bbl in February 2015, the industry saw a large exodus of operators and capital from the gas rich plays around the US to the liquid rich Permian. The Permian proved to be the haven for oil and gas development with its multiple pay zone targets, high EURs, low break-even costs, friendly regulatory environment, and access to markets. The rush for land, once again ensued, with the hope of an oil price rebound and promise of high returns to capital investors.
The rapid ramp up in activity from 2015–2018 did not come without challenges as it put strain on the availability of services and people, access to pipelines and markets, and access to frac sand/water. This drove up costs and resulted in mixed results for many companies. In addition, operators soon saw that with higher-than-expected gas and water production, expenses to manage these by-products sky-rocketed. Water handling and disposal became a huge portion of operating expenses and with gas export facilities at full capacity, companies started to flare gas in large volumes. Associated gas became a waste product, causing operators needed remove the gas and associated liquids from the revenue stream, and in some cases pay a high cost for flaring permits, rather than shutting in wells.
By 2019, a shift in the investment community was well underway. The days of growth-focused investment were coming to an end, and investors wanted to see returns on their investments. As prices still hovered around the $55/bbl range, investors were getting anxious to recover their capital invested in the industry, and throughout 2019 operators all talked about the ability to generate free cash flow. This paper analyses the free cash flow for three key unconventional basins across the US and discusses the associated economic impacts in each basin.
Rosenhagen, Nicolas M. (Colorado School of Mines) | Nash, Steven D. (Anadarko Petroleum Corporation) | Dobbs, Walter C. (Anadarko Petroleum Corporation) | Tanner, Kevin V. (Anadarko Petroleum Corporation)
Abstract The volume of stimulation fluid injected during hydraulic fracturing is a key performance driver in the horizontal development of the Niobrara formation in the Denver-Julesburg (DJ) Basin, Colorado. Oil production per well generally increases with stimulation fluid volume. Often, operators normalize both production and fluid volume based on stimulated lateral length and investigate relationships using "per-ft" variables. However, data from well-based approaches commonly display such wide distributions that no useful relationships can be inferred. To improve data correlations, multivariate analysis normalizes for parameters such as thermal maturity, depth, depletion, proppant intensity, drawdown, geology and completion design. Although advancements in computing power have decreased cycle times for multivariate analysis, preparing a clean dataset for thousands of wells remains challenging. A proposed analytical method using publicly available data allows interpreters to see through the noise and find informative correlations. Using a data set of over 5000 wells, we aggregate cumulative oil production and stimulation fluid volumes to a per-section basis then normalize by hydrocarbon pore volume (HCPV) per section. Dimensionless section-level Cumulative Oil versus Stimulation Fluid Plots ("Normalization" or "N-Plot") present data distributions sufficiently well-defined to provide an interpretation and design basis of well spacing and stimulation fluid volumes for multi-well development. When coupled with geologic characterization, the trends guide further refinement of development optimization and well performance predictions. Two example applications using the N-Plot are introduced. The first involves construction of predictive production models and associated evaluation of alternative development scenarios with different combinations of well spacing and completion fluid intensity. The second involves "just-in-time" modification of fluid intensity for drilled but uncompleted wells (DUC's) to optimize cost-forward project economics in an evolving commodity price environment.
Abstract Most of the shale reservoirs in US land are naturally fractured. The fracture intensity and types vary from one shale to another. Even within the same shale in the same field, the heterogeneity of fracture intensity can be often expected to be high in a horizontal well. The current popular geometrical completion design can potentially ignore the existence of natural fractures. Hence, maximizing stimulation efficiency without understanding existing natural fractures can be a challenge. In this paper, study was made of the majority of the published case studies related to natural fractures in the US shales in the last 20 years. The evidence of natural fractures from either outcrops or subsurface data, i.e. core, borehole images, or other data is summarized for each studied shale. The latest studies show that the hydraulic fracture propagation can be strongly influenced by existing natural fractures regardless of whether they are open or closed. The roles of existing fractures in the shales include: 1) providing enhanced reservoir permeability for improved productivity if they are open and effectively connected by hydraulic fractures; 2) promoting much better fracturing network complexity regardless of whether they are open or closed prior to the stimulation; 3) giving possible negative impact sometimes, i.e. high water cut, if they are connected with wet zones below or above the reservoirs. It can be concluded that engineered completion designs that employ accurate knowledge of natural fracture data, in-situ stresses, and other reservoir and completion quality indicators as inputs can provide opportunities for enhancing stimulation efficiency and fracturing network complexity. This in turn can lead to better connectivity to a larger reservoir volume and access to more drainage area in the shales. Introduction The US shale gas story actually featured natural fractures. William Hart, a local gunsmith, drilled the first commercial natural shale gas well in US in Fredonia, Chautauqua County, NY in 1821, in shallow, low-pressure rock with fractures. The well was first dug to a depth of 27ft in a shale which outcropped in the area, then later drilled to a depth of 70ft using 1.5 inch diameter borehole. The produced gas was piped to an innkeeper on a stagecoach route. Then the well was produced without any stimulation for 37 years until 1858 when it supplied enough natural gas for a grist mill and for lighting in four shops. It was a combination of the idea from Mr. Hart to drill the well and the presence of the natural fractures in the gas shale that made the 1 commercial shale gas discovery possible in shale gas history.