The need to develop new tools that allow reservoir engineers to optimize reservoir performance is becoming more demanding by the day. One of the most challenging and influential problems facing reservoir engineers is well placement optimization.
The North Kuwait field (NKF) consists of six fields containing four naturally fractured carbonate formations. The reservoirs are composed of relatively tight limestone and dolomite embedded with anhydrate and shale. The fields are divided into isolated compartments based on fault zones and supported by a combination of different fluid compositions, initial pressures, and estimated free-water levels. Due to natural complexity, tightness, and high drilling costs of wells in the NKF, it is very important to identify the sweet spots and the optimum well locations.
This paper presents two intelligent methods that use dynamic numerical simulation model results and static reservoir properties to identify zones with a high-production potential: reservoir opportunity index (ROI) and simulation opportunity index (SOI). The Petrel* E&P software platform was chosen as the integrated platform to implement the workflow. The fit-for-purpose time dependent 2D maps generated by the Petrel platform facilitated the decision-making process used for locating new wells in the dominant flow system and provided immense support for field-development plans.
The difference between the two methods is insignificant because of reservoir tightness, limited interference, and natural uncertainty on compartmentalization. At this stage, pressure is not a key parameter. As a result, unlike brown fields, less weight was given to simulated pressure, and SOI was used to select the well locations.
The results of this study show that implementing these workflows and obtaining the resulting maps significantly improve the selection process to identify the most productive areas and layers in a field. Also, the optimum numbers of wells using this method obtained in less time and with fewer resources are compared with results using traditional industry approaches.
The global economy continues its journey of evolution and progression driven by industrialism as its primary force. With such a fast pace of development and recovery from several recessions over a number of years, dependency on energy sources became inevitable to satisfy the rising demand. This paper represents a proposed global energy price model that has the flexibility of modeling the energy price, using data from specific regions of the world, as well as the global energy pricing equation. The ANM (Alternate Novel Model) is presented here.
The model focuses mainly on oil price modeling, since oil accounts for more than 84% of the current world energy supply. The model duration is 50 years; starting from 1980 to 2030, model matching period from 1980 to 2011, and the prediction period is from 2012to 2030.
The modeling approach used in ANM adopts weighted averaging of individual factors and it relies on line regression technique. Therefore, future trends are being predicted based on the cyclic nature of the market and historical data "the future is reflection of the past??. ANM can then preduct the future oil prices, depending on the factors and variables that have been placed in the process for the output results.
The paper aims to propose a reliable model that accounts for most governing factors in the global energy pricing equation. All steps followed and assumptions made will be discussed in detailto clarify the working mechanism for this model and pave the road for any future modifications.
Alusta, Gamal Abdalla (Heriot-Watt University) | Mackay, Eric James (Heriot-Watt University) | Collins, Ian Ralph (BP Exploration) | Fennema, Julian (Heriot-Watt University) | Armih, Khari (Heriot-Watt University)
This study has focused on the development of a method to test the economic viability of Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) versus infill well drilling where the challenge is to compare polymer flooding scenarios with infill well drilling scenarios, not just based on incremental recovery, but on Net Present Value as well.
In a previous publication (Alusta et al., 2011, SPE143300) the method was developed to address polymer flooding, but it can be modified to suit any other EOR methods. The method has been applied to a synthetic scenario with constant economic parameters, which has demonstrated the impact that oil price can have on the decision making process.
The method was then applied and tested (Alusta et al., 2012, SPE150454) with varied operational and economic parameters to investigate the impact in delaying the start of polymer flooding to identify whether it is better to start polymer flooding earlier or later in the life of the project. Consideration was also given to the optimum polymer concentration, and the impact that factors such as oil price and polymer cost have on this decision. Due to the large number of combined reservoir engineering and economic scenarios, Monte Carlo Simulation and advanced analysis of large data sets and the resulting probability distributions had to be developed.
In this paper the methodology is applied to an offshore field where the choice has already been made to drill infill wells, but where we test the robustness of the method against a conventional decision making process for which there is historical data. We do this by performing calculations that compare the infill well scenario chosen with a range of polymer flooding scenarios that could have been selected instead, to identify whether or not the choice to drill infill wells was indeed the optimum choice from an economic perspective.
We conclude from all the reservoir simulations and subsequent economic calculations that the decision to drill infill wells was indeed the optimum choice from an economic perspective.
Both oil and gold are commodities with price in US Dollars, but they choose different path in trend figure. While gold has been showing great stability over the years, oil keeps changing in price level. Oil price movements have distorted measurement of economic variables measured in dollar values. In economical evaluation for oil and gas field development projects longer than one year, oil price is one of the most critical assumptions.
This paper is trying to solve whether:
• gold is more stable than US dollars or other currencies
• gold equivalency is more reliable way to project the future costs/price
• the gold-based oil price can be applied in current economical evaluation template for justification of approval process on field development plan
Considering crude oil prices are moving dynamically for last decade, this paper exercise the model to determine realistic oil price assumption by using more stable "currencies??, thus it can provide more reliable and accurate economical evaluation. It shows that gold-based inflation-adjusted crude-oil price is preferable indampening or mitigating:
• effect of dynamic oil price nature
• impact of inflation
• risks of paper-based currency fluctuation
• discount rate requirement
Using case study of Indonesian Production Sharing Contract (PSC) fiscal terms, gold-based oil price provides more simple economical evaluation, resulting real net cashflow of field development plan. The paper concludes by demonstrating using gold equivalency instead of paper-based currencies provides more consistent and reliable nominal revenue in both perspective of PSC Contractor and Government.
Haider, Bader Y.A. (Kuwait Oil Company) | Rachapudi, Rama Rao Venkata Subba (Kuwait Oil Company) | Al-Yahya, Mohammad (Kuwait Oil Company) | Al-Mutairi, Talal (Kuwait Oil Company) | Al Deyain, Khaled Waleed (Kuwait Oil Company)
Production from Artificially lifted (ESP) well depends on the performance of ESP and reservoir inflow. Realtime monitoring of ESP performance and reservoir productivity is essential for production optimization and this in turn will help in improving the ESP run life. Realtime Workflow was developed to track the ESP performance and well productivity using Realtime ESP sensor data. This workflow was automated by using real time data server and results were made available through Desk top application.
Realtime ESP performance information was used in regular well reviews to identify the problems with ESP performance, to investigate the opportunity for increasing the production. Further ESP real time data combined with well model analysis was used in addressing well problems.
This paper describes about the workflow design, automation and real field case implementation of optimization decisions. Ultimately, this workflow helped in extending the ESP run life and created a well performance monitoring system that eliminated the manual maintenance of the data .In Future, this workflow will be part of full field Digital oil field implementation.
The North Kuwait Jurassic Gas (NKJG) reservoirs are currently under development by KOC with assistance from Shell under an Enhanced Technical Services Agreement (ETSA). The fractured carbonate reservoirs contain gas condensate and volatile oil at pressures up to 11,500 psi with 2.5% H2S and 1.5% CO2. This paper describes the planning and implementation of a Well Integrity Management System (WIMS) that allows the safe management of the wells that are being drilled in this hazardous environment.
The wells are designed and constructed in accordance with KOC standards and on transfer of ownership from Deep Drilling Group to Production Services Group have their integrity managed under WIMS. The system is a structured process, relating the frequency and extent of routine monitoring and testing to the particular risks associated with the wells. Compliance with WIMS requirements are routinely reported so that all are aware of the current state of well integrity. WIMS is initially managed through simple spreadsheets and during 2012 is being integrated into KOC's Digital Field infrastructure.
Initially, WIMS has been applied to the range of wells ‘owned' by Production Services Group and tests currently carried out by Well Surveillance Group under PSG's direction. In order to realise the full assurance of safe operation the scope of WIMS application is being extended to the full well population, including suspended wells, and the full range of tests required.
Implementation of WIMS will allow KOC (NKJG) to be able to state that ‘our wells are safe and we know it'.
Stuck pipe has been recognized as one of the most challenging and costly problems in the oil and gas industry. However, this problem can be treated proactively by predicting it before it occurs.
The purpose of this study is to implement the two most powerful machine learning methods, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) and Support Vector Machines (SVMs), to predict stuck pipe occurrences. Two developed models for ANNs and SVMs with different scenarios were implemented for prediction purposes. The models were designed and constructed by the MATLAB language. The MATLAB built-in functions of ANNs and SVMs, and the MATLAB interface from the library of support vector machines were applied to compare the results. Furthermore, one database that included mud properties, directional characteristics, and drilling parameters has been assembled for training and testing processes. The study involved classifying stuck pipe incidents into two groups - stuck and non-stuck - and also into three subgroups: differentially stuck, mechanically stuck, and non-stuck. This research has also gone through an optimization process which is vital in machine learning techniques to construct the most practical models. This study demonstrated that both ANNs and SVMs are able to predict stuck pipe occurrences with reasonable accuracy, over 85%.
The competitive SVM technique is able to generate generally reliable stuck pipe prediction. Besides, it can be found that SVMs are more convenient than ANNs since they need fewer parameters to be optimized. The constructed models generally apply very well in the areas for which they are built, but may not work for other areas. However, they are important especially when it comes to probability measures. Thus, they can be utilized with real-time data and would represent the results on a log viewer.
The purpose of history matching is to achieve geological realizations calibrated to the historical performance of the reservoir. For complex geological structures it is usually intractable to run tens of thousands of full reservoir simulation to trace the most probable geological model. Hence the inadequacy of the history-matching results frequently leads to poor estimation of the true model and high uncertainty in production forecasting. Reduced-order modeling procedures, which have been applied in many application areas including reservoir simulation, represent a promising means for constructing efficient surrogate models. Nonlinear dimensionality reduction techniques allow for encapsulating the high-resolution complex geological description of reservoir into a low-dimensional subspace, which significantly reduces number of unknowns and provides an efficient way to construct a proxy model based on the the reduced-dimension parameters.
Polynomial Chaos Expansions (PCE) is a powerful tool to quantify uncertainty in dynamical system when there is probabilistic uncertainty in the system parameters. In reservoir simulation it has been shown to be more accurate and efficient compared to traditional experimental design (ED). PCEs have a significant advantage over other response surfaces as the convergence to the true probability distribution is proved when the order of the PCE is increased. Accordingly PCE proxy can be used as the pseudo-simulator to represent the surface responses of the uncertain variables. When the objective and constraints of a reservoir model is described by multivariate polynomial functions, there are very efficient algorithms to compute the global solutions. We have developed a workflow at which incorporates PCE to find the global minimum of the misfit surface and assess the uncertainty associated with. The accuracy of the PCE proxy increases with the additional trial runs of the reservoir simulator.
We conduct a two dimensional synthetic case study of a fluvial channel as well as a real field example to demonstrate the effectiveness of this approach. Kernel Principal Component Analysis (KPCA) is used to parameterize the complex geological structure. The study has revealed useful reservoir information and delivered more reliable production forecasts.
PCE-based history match enhances the quality and efficiency of the estimation of the most probable geological model and improve the confidence interval of production forecasts.
Significant advances have been made in formation testing since the introduction of wireline pumpout testers (WLPT), particularly with respect to downhole fluid compositional measurements. Optical sensors and the use of spectroscopic methods have been developed to improve sample quality and minimize sampling time in downhole environments. As a laboratory technique, spectroscopy is a ubiquitous and powerful technology that has been used worldwide for decades to measure the physical and chemical properties of many materials, including petroleum, geological, and hydrological samples. However, laboratory-grade, high-resolution spectrometers are incompatible with the hostile environments encountered downhole, at wellheads, and on pipelines. Only limited resolution techniques are available for the rugged conditions of the oil field. This paper introduces a new optical technology that can provide high-resolution, laboratory-quality analyses in harsh oilfield environments.
A new technology for optical sensing, multivariate optical computing (MOC), has been developed and is a non-spectroscopic technique. This new sensing method uses an integrated computation element (ICE) to combine the power and accuracy of high-resolution, laboratory-quality spectrometers with the ruggedness and simplicity of photometers. Many modern sensors typically merge the sensor with the electronics on an integrated computing chip to perform complex computations, resulting in an elegant yet simplistic design. Now, optical sensing using ICE features an analogue optical computation device to provide a direct, simple, and powerful mathematical computation on the optical information, completely within the optical domain. Because the entire optical range of interest is used without dispersing the light spectrum, the measurements are obtained instantly and rival laboratory-quality results.
A proof of concept MOC with ICE has been demonstrated, logging more than 7,000 hours, in nearly continuous use for 14 months. Oils with gravities ranging from 14 to 65°API have been measured in downhole environments that range from 3,000 to 20,000 psi, and from 150 to 350°F. Hydrocarbon composition measurements, including saturates, aromatics, resins, asphaltenes, methane, and ethane, have been demonstrated using the MOC configuration. As compositional calculations therein, GOR and density are validated to within 14 scf/bbl and 1%, respectively. The paper discusses the details of the new ICE-based sensor and describes its adaptations to downhole applications.
The North Kuwait Jurassic Gas (NKJG) reservoirs are currently under development by KOC. The fractured carbonate reservoirs contain gas condensate and volatile oil at pressures up to 11,500 psi with 2.9% H2S and 1.5% CO2. Currently around 20 active wells are producing to an Early Production Facility (EPF-50) that falls short of achieving the desired capacity and capability to handle production efficiently.
To understand wells and field performance, an integrated system model comprising of wells, flow line and gathering system separator network was created. The setting up a model and its use is an integral subset of WRFM (Wells, Reservoir and Facilities Management) process that is essential for effectively managing the current asset and for further field development.
The application of the model is to be an enabler for wider implementation of the WRFM process in KOC and a tool to meet the following objectives:
The model has shown close approximation with field metered production and is already achieving many of its desired objectives.
This paper describes the use of integrated nodal analysis model to generate data gathering and well intervention opportunities not only to operate the facilities efficiently but understand well and reservoir behavior for input to full field development plan.
Exploration activity during the last ten years, targeting Jurassic carbonate reservoirs in North Kuwait (Fig 1), has culminated in the discovery of six major tight gas condensate fields, encompassing an area of about 1,800 sq km with a reservoir gross thickness of about 2,200 ft. These fields are the first free-gas fields in Kuwait, which were put on early production during 2008. The reservoirs are characterized with dual porosity matrix system, dominated by low porosity and permeability, in deep HP/HT conditions, with wide variety of hydrocarbon fluids ranging from volatile oil to gas condensate with sour gas. Typical per well production rates are up to 5,000 BOPD/BCPD and 10 MMSCFPD, making them an excellent commercial success.