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Abstract Faster production declines than initially forecast were observed in numerous deep-water assets. These wells were completed as Cased Hole Frac-Pack (CHFP) completions (Knobles et al. 2017) with the assumption that rock failure although not initially expected would occur at some point during the production life of the well. This work indicates that failure of the rock and proppant are significant factors impacting Productivity Index (PI) Decline. The paper delves into each of the identified mechanisms and how they impair well productivity. Seven key damage mechanisms were identified as forming the basis for PI degradation: 1) off-plane perforation stability, 2) fines migration, 3) fracture conductivity, 4) fracture connectivity, 5) fluid invasion, 6) non-Darcy flow and 7) creep effects. A near wellbore production model incorporating the completion, fracture geometry and reservoir is coupled with a geomechanics model to assess each mechanism. A Design of Experiment setup varies the input ranges associated with each of the seven damage mechanisms. Input parameters for the model are risked and rely on ranges from standard and newly developed well and lab tests. The model assesses well performance and driving mechanisms at different points in time within the production life. Primarily the study focused on high permeability and highly over pressured reservoirs. For the types of wells/fields assessed in the study, the results indicated three phases of decline based on the interaction between the formation properties, the completion components and the operating parameters. The three phases breakdown into: (1) a pre-rock failure stage where declines are relatively small, (2) an ongoing rock failure stage where declines are rapid and (3) a post failure stage where declines are again moderate. In each of these stages different parameters and damage mechanisms were assessed to be impactful. The workflow was also utilized to match pre and post acidizing treatments. A comparison for varying rock types was included looking at the impact of rock strength and formation permeability on the ranking of the damage mechanisms. The impact of operating parameters such as drawdown can also be assessed with the tool showing that increased drawdowns may not always be beneficial to the long-term production of the well. The paper presents the underlying drivers for PI Decline for deep-water assets of a specific attribute set. Through accurate representation of reservoir and completion, the workflow highlights the impact and combined impact of different damage mechanisms. The paper also shows a direct link between the mechanical properties (moduli and strength) and boundary conditions (pore pressure and stress) and the well performance and productivity. The workflow provides a methodology by which lab and field tests can be transformed into assessments of future well performance without strictly relying on analogs that may or may not be appropriate.